Black Book Depreciation Report: Segments Settling Into Normal Depreciation For Remainder of 2018

According to Black Book® data, the average price of a used vehicle for model years 2013-2017 changed -1.9% during October, a noticeable drop compared to the previous month when values were unchanged. The -1.9% change was also the largest monthly price decline dating back to January. Cars changed -2.4% and trucks changed -1.6%.

Unlike September, when eight segments either retained their value or saw increased, every truck and car segment saw a decline in October. Subcompact Crossovers saw the lowest depreciation at -0.4% during October. Vehicles in this segment finished the month with an average segment value of $11,926, a -8.9% change from a year ago. Vehicles in Sub-Compact Crossover segment include the Buick Encore, Nissan Juke, Chevrolet Trax, Honda HR-V and the Jeep Renegade.

Sporty Cars saw the largest depreciation on the month at -3.3%. Vehicles in the Sporty Car segment include the Dodge Challenger, Chevrolet Camaro, Ford Mustang, BMW 1-Series, and the Mazda MX-5 Miata. Vehicles in this segment finished October with an average segment value of $13,529, a -9.1% change in value over the last twelve months.

Two other segments finished the month at -2.5% depreciation or greater: Full-size Cars at -2.6%, and Minivans at -2.5%.

Five segments including Subcompact Crossovers saw monthly depreciation of -1.0% or less: Full-Size Crossover/SUV (-0.9%), Full-Size Van (-0.9%), Compact Van (-0.9%), and Sub-Compact Luxury CUV (-0.6%)

“It appears as though we’ve settled into normal depreciation patterns for the remainder of the year.  Our residual forecasts reflect depreciation increasing next year,” said Anil Goyal, Executive Vice President, Operations at Black Book. “Increasing interest rates, potentially higher incentives on new vehicles and rising used supply levels, particularly in the compact SUV segment will be key factors driving the trend in 2019.”

 

11/1/17

10/1/18

 1M Chg

11/1/18

 3M Chg

 12M Chg

Category

Seg

$

%

$

%

$

%

%

All Vehicles

17,236

+0.0%

15,427

-1.9%

15,129

-1.9%

-12.2%

Car

13387

-0.2%

12055

-2.4%

11770

-2.6%

-12.1%

Truck

21203

+0.2%

18902

-1.6%

18591

-1.5%

-12.3%

Domestic Car

12501

-0.1%

11632

-2.9%

11290

-3.1%

-9.7%

Domestic Truck

21532

+0.4%

19205

-1.6%

18904

-1.0%

-12.2%

Import Car

13848

-0.2%

12276

-2.1%

12020

-2.3%

-13.2%

Import Truck

20697

-0.2%

18436

-1.8%

18110

-2.4%

-12.5%

Sporty Car

SPC

14887

-0.5%

13989

-3.3%

13529

-4.8%

-9.1%

Full-Size Car

FSC

15289

-0.7%

13963

-2.6%

13605

-3.2%

-11.0%

Minivan

MVW

18167

-0.2%

15720

-2.5%

15325

-2.1%

-15.6%

Near Luxury Car

NLC

19661

-0.2%

16657

-2.4%

16257

-3.5%

-17.3%

Luxury Car

LLC

25400

-1.0%

21135

-2.3%

20639

-4.0%

-18.7%

Compact Car

CPC

9840

+0.2%

9205

-2.3%

8991

-1.4%

-8.6%

Mid-Size Crossover/SUV

MSU

19634

+0.5%

17383

-2.3%

16985

-2.0%

-13.5%

Prestige Luxury Car

PLC

40025

-1.0%

33864

-2.3%

33098

-4.3%

-17.3%

Full-Size Luxury CUV/SUV

LFU

44358

-0.8%

37155

-2.2%

36321

-4.0%

-18.1%

Mid-Size Car

MSC

11809

+0.1%

10817

-2.2%

10577

-1.3%

-10.4%

Premium Sporty Car

PSC

41083

-0.3%

36237

-2.2%

35443

-3.8%

-13.7%

Mid-Size Luxury CUV/SUV

LMU

26478

-0.2%

22528

-2.0%

22070

-2.8%

-16.7%

Sub-Compact Car

SBC

7568

+0.2%

6931

-1.7%

6811

-2.7%

-10.0%

Compact Crossover/SUV

CSU

14409

+0.0%

13104

-1.6%

12890

-1.8%

-10.5%

Small Pickup

SPT

23217

-0.2%

22276

-1.6%

21930

-1.3%

-5.5%

Compact Luxury CUV/SUV

LCU

23744

-0.7%

19967

-1.4%

19680

-3.3%

-17.1%

Full-Size Pickup

FPT

27590

+0.4%

25336

-1.2%

25034

-0.2%

-9.3%

Full-Size Crossover/SUV

FSU

31874

+0.7%

27187

-0.9%

26940

-0.1%

-15.5%

Full-Size Van

FSV

18909

-0.4%

17553

-0.9%

17394

-2.4%

-8.0%

Compact Van

MVC

12115

+0.9%

11476

-0.9%

11375

+0.7%

-6.1%

Sub-Compact Luxury CUV

LXU

18705

-0.7%

15571

-0.6%

15475

-1.9%

-17.3%

Sub-Compact Crossover

SXU

13088

-0.1%

11979

-0.4%

11926

-0.7%

-8.9%

 

 

 

About Black Book

Black Book® is best known in the automotive industry for providing timely, independent and accurate vehicle pricing information, and is available to industry-qualified users through online subscription products, mobile applications and licensing agreements. Since 1955, Black Book has continuously evolved to ensure that it achieves its goal of delivering mission-critical information to its customers, along with the insight necessary to successfully buy, sell, and lend. Black Book data is published daily by National Auto Research, a division of Hearst, and the company maintains offices in Georgia, Florida, and Maryland. For more information, please visit BlackBook.com or call 800.554.1026.

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